5 Reasons Not To Give Up On The Bullrun

In November 2024, everyone was bracing for a face melting bull run of epic proportions... So where is it?

Remember when 2025 was supposed to be crypto's redemption arc? The year regulation finally got out of the way, institutions piled in, and retail investors came crawling back to the casino with their life savings. The Trump administration rode into Washington on a wave of crypto-friendly promises - lighter rules, Bitcoin ETFs for the masses, maybe even a blockchain-based dollar. The hype was so thick you could spread it on toast.

Donald Trump GIF by CBS News

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But here we are basically halfway through the year, watching Bitcoin grind upwards at the pace of a snail carrying some heavy shopping. This isn't the explosive, life changing bull run we were promised. We wanted face melting action! So what the heck is going on?

Well before you rage quit your trading apps, and swear off crypto forever, there are five factors you should be paying attention to, that will make you sleep better at night.

But before we even get into that, consider this: every real bull run starts with skepticism. The pieces might actually be falling into place - just not as fast or as flashy as we'd like.

Here are five reasons to keep the faith. Oh and one more thing, we’re talking strictly within the US here, because unlike other nations, they’re the biggest economy in the world and also (ironically) not entirely at the party just yet.

1. Policy Changes Are Coming (Albeit At Government Speed)

Beneath the surface, the regulatory ice is cracking. The SEC has quietly shifted from "sue first, ask questions never" to actually engaging with the industry. A bipartisan crypto bill is gaining traction in Congress, there’s new heads of staff with a brand new vision for the industry. Even Treasury dropped new stablecoin rules that don't completely suffocate innovation.

History shows markets don't wait for laws to pass, they price in the expectation. The mere whiff of regulatory clarity could be the spark that lights the next leg up. Remember how Bitcoin ran to $60k before the ETFs were even approved? Same playbook.

Animation Fall GIF by darkbean

Gif by darkbean on Giphy

2. Institutional Money Is Flowing (Slowly)

Wall Street isn't the type to fomo in like the rest of us. The big players move slowly, methodically, and with about a thousand compliance checks. BlackRock isn't just sitting on its Bitcoin ETF - they're building out full crypto custody solutions. Goldman Sachs is experimenting with tokenizing everything from real estate to treasury bonds. Even stodgy pension funds are quietly adding 1-2% crypto allocations.

This isn't the explosive institutional adoption we imagined, but it might be more sustainable. When these whales finally decide to swim, they don't just make waves, they cannonball into this b!tch like the plump kid at your local pool on a hot day.

3. The Liquidity Is About To Blow

The Fed has been playing it cool with rates, but recession clouds are gathering. When the cuts come (and they will), all that pent-up liquidity has to go somewhere. Crypto's historical correlation with money supply hasn't disappeared - it's just waiting its turn.

Think of it like a coiled spring. When traditional markets get shaky and the money printer whispers back to life, crypto tends to outperform everything else overnight. We've seen this movie before in 2020-2021. The sequel might drop sooner than you think.

Make It Rain Money GIF by yvngswag

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4. Retail Still Hasn't Fully Shown Up

Where are the meme coin manias? The NFT frenzies? True retail euphoria hasn't hit yet - Google searches for "Bitcoin" are still 60% below 2021 peaks. This is actually bullish. Every sustainable bull run needs phases, and we're still early. When your aunt starts asking about which altcoin to buy, that's when you know we're near the top. For now, the lack of mindless hype suggests there's still room to run.

5. The Great Halving

Bitcoin's April 2024 halving was supposed to be the starter pistol for this cycle, but these things take time. Historically, the real fireworks happen 12-18 months post-halving - right about now. Combine the reduced supply with ETF demand, and you've got a powder keg waiting for a spark. The fundamentals have literally never been better. It's not a question of if, but when the dam breaks.

Lift Off Moon GIF by Stakin

Gif by Stakin on Giphy

Ok! Did you keep the faith-a-faith-a-faithuh (that was a George Michael joke)

At the end of the day, bull markets climb a wall of worry, and right now that wall is covered in skeptics (for good reason). But beneath the surface frustration, the ingredients for a real run are assembling. The smart money isn't leaving - it's accumulating while everyone else complains.

So before you write off 2025 as another crypto letdown, ask yourself: do you really want to be the guy who sold right before the fireworks finally started? History favors the patient. The moon might just be running late.