Now thereโ€™s a lot of talk out there that the bull market ๐Ÿ‚ is over for 2025. That any chance of a big, significant run is basically done until the end of this year at least.

But is that true?

Well itโ€™s a really big topic and thereโ€™s a lot of different opinions and factors influencing whatโ€™s happening, so we tried to gather up the most important, logical ones, and share them with you!

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Is The Bull Run Over? Or are we in a Bear Market? ๐Ÿป

Just quickly, you probably know but itโ€™s called a Bull market because bulls charge forward and thrust their heads up ๐Ÿ“ˆ Bears on the other hand, swipe their paws downward ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿ“‰ and hibernate a lot, representing down or stuck markets.

Now as we said, this is going to take some different angles, but first, letโ€™s see what the vibe is out of the two major camps.

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The โ€˜Weโ€™re Going Lower Broโ€™ Argument

Recently, Markus Thielen from 10X Research came out and said we could be near a cycle top because of the hype around memecoins ๐Ÿถ๐Ÿš€. Now as you know, memecoins have definitely had their moment in the Sun โ˜€๏ธ and everyone is pretty over them now. Heโ€™s comparing this moment in time to past cycles, where DeFi and NFTs were all the rage, right before the market peaked ๐Ÿ“Š. So Markus actually thinks the foundation of this bull run is weakening, and unless a new narrative takes over, things could slide further into the red ๐Ÿ”ด.

Basically, heโ€™s not convinced itโ€™s time to โ€œbuy the dipโ€ yet ๐Ÿค”

The โ€˜Itโ€™s Just A Correction Broโ€™ Argument

Nansenโ€™s Aurelie Barthere sees Bitcoin dropping to $70Kโ€“$72K as a normal part of the cycle ๐Ÿ”„, not necessarily the end of the run. You see, things ebb and flow ๐ŸŒŠ. As much as we wish they would, coins donโ€™t just creep in one direction forever - itโ€™s three steps forward, two steps back. Aurelie points out all the different macro factors like tariffs, fiscal cuts, and general investor fears ๐Ÿ˜ฌ, but doesnโ€™t think theyโ€™ll break the trend.

And she isnโ€™t alone either! Raoul Pal agrees with the โ€˜this is just a correctionโ€™ โœ…. He blames the slow price action on a strong US dollar ๐Ÿ’ต and higher interest rates ๐Ÿ“Š, but says those conditions are easing. And long term, heโ€™s still bullish ๐Ÿ‚.

Ok, so weโ€™ve heard from some of the experts in the room, butโ€ฆ

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what are the numbers saying?

Well despite fresh inflation data coming out in the US, BTC and other coins didnโ€™t really react much. Bitcoin briefly surged past $84,000 following the latest U.S. inflation report ๐Ÿ“ˆ but any gains it made were quickly lost ๐Ÿ”ฝ. And as is usually the case, the broader crypto market has been trading sideways mostly.

Despite initial excitement ๐ŸŽ‰, Bitcoin (BTC) dipped 0.5% over the past 24 hours - this is a pretty good signal that people just donโ€™t feel sure about the market ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

The CoinDesk 20 index, which tracks the top cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins and memecoins), slipped 0.8% ๐Ÿ“‰ - again, not a great sign.

Wait, experts said it wasnโ€™t over, why is this happening?

Well, the United Statesโ€™ inflation data just came out, and it actually wasnโ€™t as bad as people were expecting! Which SHOULD have been a bull signal ๐ŸŸข because it meant all kinds of other good news was on the way.

Butโ€ฆ the market didnโ€™t react.

So yeah, this was good news, but not good enough to make people feel comfortable to invest ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€œMarket confidence has been shaken by weeks of fear. One good inflation report isnโ€™t enough to turn things around.โ€

  • Dr. Youwei Yang, Chief Economist at BIT Mining

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Yang also points to the Trump administrationโ€™s aggressive tariffs, which could prolong inflation while also disrupting financial markets ๐ŸŒŽ๐Ÿ“‰

what do WE think?

Well, one things is absolutely certain and thatโ€™s that investors are scared to commit!

And itโ€™s easy to see why, things havenโ€™t been this turbulent for a while. And even positive news stories are having little to no effect on the market. People have just been hurt too man times the past couple months. So if thereโ€™s going to be a story to turn the vibe around, itโ€™s going to need to be big!

Alright thatโ€™s enough from us! SEE YOU TOMORROW!