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Good Morning. A typo once wiped $225 billion off the Tokyo Stock Exchange. In 2005, a trader at Mizuho Securities meant to sell 1 share for ¥610,000… But instead, they tried to sell 610,000 shares for ¥1.

It triggered a massive sell-off and chaos and the system wouldn’t let them cancel it.
→ Moral of the story: double-check your orders.

-Shaun A, Jonathan Kibbler, Jordon Mellor

MARKETS

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Prices supplied by Google Finance as of 4:00am ET - stock prices as of close. Here is what the prices mean.

TRADER INSIGHTS

You’re Not a Bad Trader. You’re Just Swinging the Hammer Wrong.

Last week, I came across a meme that hit a little too close to home. Picture this: three guys on a job site, all trying to hammer a nail into a plank. The first guy nails it on the first swing. The second takes two hits. Then the rookie steps up, swings wild, misses completely, and almost eats dirt. The crew loses it. Classic.

Trading isn’t much different. Most folks aren’t bad traders, they just use the right tool at the wrong time or in the wrong way. That’s how you end up chasing setups that aren’t there or taking trades just to feel busy. I’ve been that rookie swinging hard and missing. Feels stupid, but it’s how you learn.

When I started, I’d spend hours scrolling through every chart, desperate for a setup. I’d force trades. Sometimes they worked, mostly they didn’t. It all changed when I built a simple currency strength meter. Now, I know where to look, AUD’s strong, CHF’s weak, so I’m eyeing AUD/CHF. No more guessing. No more late-night FOMO trades.

These tools don’t just filter noise, they save my sanity. They tell me when to size down, when to back off, and when to trust a move. Less stress, better trades. I still get it wrong. I still get stopped out. But now, every trade has a reason. No more swinging blind.

Bottom line: Tools don’t make you a pro. Knowing when and how to use them does. Don’t be the rookie with the hammer.

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MARKET ANALYSIS

Trust Shaken, Yen Gets Its Groove Back

Let’s call it what it is: the move below 145 on USD/JPY felt like a punch in the gut. One minute you’re riding the trend, the next you’re staring at the screen thinking, “Is this for real?” Been there. That drop wasn’t just about a number, it was about trust, and right now, the market’s got trust issues.

When Moody’s slaps the U.S. with a downgrade and Japan’s central bank starts talking tough, the technicals start looking shaky. The pair cracked 145 and suddenly, everyone’s scrambling for cover. The dollar’s wobbling, and the yen’s finally getting some respect.

Key Drivers (No Fluff):

  • Japan’s Ready to Talk FX With the U.S.
    Japan’s finance minister is lining up a chat with the U.S. Treasury. That’s code for: “We might step in if the yen keeps tanking.” The market heard it loud and clear. Shorts got nervous. Liquidation followed.

  • Moody’s Didn’t Blink
    The U.S. credit rating just got knocked down a peg. Persistent deficits. Ballooning debt. The dollar instantly lost some of its shine and traders didn’t wait around.

  • BoJ: All Business, No Bluff
    The Bank of Japan’s deputy governor made it clear: if growth and inflation play ball, rates are going up. Meanwhile, the Fed’s stuck in “wait and see.” That’s a green light for yen bulls.

  • 145 Wasn’t Magic, It Was a Tripwire
    Once we dipped under 145, it was like hitting a patch of black ice. Stops triggered. Next support’s around 144.50, then 144.00. The chart looks heavy.

If you’re staring at your P&L right now and feeling a little burned, I get it. I’ve been the guy who thought “No way we break 145,” only to get steamrolled. That’s trading. It stings, but you learn fast.

This isn’t the time for hope trades. Watch the headlines, watch the data, but let price action confirm the story.

The market doesn’t care about your feelings, only your risk. Trade what’s in front of you. When the mood shifts, don’t argue. Flip the bias and move on.

WATCH

Bullish Dragon Confirmed.

GAMES

Trading Quiz

Which of these events caused the largest single-day point drop in the Dow Jones?

A) Lehman Brothers collapse (2008)
B) COVID-19 panic (March 2020)
C) 1987 Black Monday
D) Dot-com bubble burst (2000)

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🦖 Understand how Market Makers work.

ANSWER

Answer: B – March 16, 2020. The Dow dropped 2,997 points, the largest single-day point drop in history.

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