Good morning. Until 1994, the Federal Reserve didn’t even announce its rate decisions, traders had to guess the outcome by watching money market moves.

When the Fed began releasing official FOMC statements that year, it turned “Fed day” into the news event we all trade around today.

-Jonathan Kibbler, Shaun A, Jordon Mellor

MARKETS

How’s your favorite today?

Prices supplied by Google Finance as of 4:00am ET - stock prices as of close. Here is what the prices mean.

GOLD CHART BREAKDOWN OF THE DAY

XAU/USD is still stuck under the falling intraday trendline, showing weak momentum after last week’s selloff. Price is hovering around the $4,010–$4,020 zone, failing to break back above key intraday levels at $4,033 and $4,053.

MARKET ANALYSIS

The Selloff That Could Set the Tone for the Rest of Q4.

Bitcoin continues to show frailties, dropping below the $100k level and the support trendline. This is a clear signal that the risk appetite across global markets is fading. Add to this the VIX (Volatility Index) is rising and is now back above the 20 level. 

The Market Just Flipped Into Risk-Off Mode

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) breaking below both $100,000 and its long-held weekly trendline is not just a crypto story, it’s a risk sentiment story.

  • BTC has broken its bullish structure

  • Weekly candle has closed below the 100k support

  • It also sliced through the multi-month ascending trendline

This shows us that the sellers are driving this market right now. If markets are under pressure investors will look to sell positions in assets that have been performing well. 

Bitcoin & NASDAQ: The Correlation That Matters This Week

Bitcoin continues to behave like a leveraged tech ETF. Let’s compare the Bitcoin price and the NASDAQ. 

The correlation shows:

  • NAS100 rolling over after setting recent highs

  • BTC breaking structure first

  • BTC falling harder and earlier and is often a leading indicator

  • Potential downside acceleration if NAS100 follows through

If Bitcoin continues down into the end of the week, the NASDAQ could follow.

With the U.S. government shutdown now resolved, a wave of postponed economic releases is dropping all at once. This alone is enough to increase volatility. A rise in volatility can equal a decline in the stock markets.

Trading Opportunity

Short-term Bias:
Risk-off continuation

Potential setups:

  • Sell rallies on NAS100 into previous support-turned-resistance

  • BTC short toward 71k, with invalidation above 100k

  • Gold long on dips if data confirms risk-off

  • USD long vs weaker currencies (GBP & NZD) into NFP

This week’s data dump gives traders real catalysts that align with the technical breakdown we’re already seeing.

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TRADER INSIGHTS

The Hidden Fear That Sabotages Good Traders

You’ve probably heard it before, someone quits their full-time job because they want to “trade for a living.” No backup plan. No savings. Just charts, pressure, and the dream of freedom.

Sounds inspiring… until reality hits. Because when trading becomes your only lifeline, you don’t trade to grow you trade to survive.

And survival mode is the fastest way to destroy performance.

You stop thinking like a trader and start thinking like someone who’s trying to avoid drowning. That changes everything: your entries, your sizing, your patience, your confidence.

Let’s break down why this mindset is so dangerous.

Here’s What You Need to Know

1. Survival Mode Makes You Scared to Lose

When trading becomes your only income, every loss feels like a threat to your future. You start seeing setups through fear instead of logic. You hesitate on clean entries, cut winners too early, or take random trades just to “make something happen.” You’re not trading, you’re reacting.

2. You Trade Money, Not Structure

If you’re relying on trading to pay rent, buy diapers, or fill the fridge, you’ll naturally focus on the money, not the chart. That’s how traders blow up. A proper setup doesn’t suddenly become wrong just because you “need” this win. The market doesn’t care about your bills.

3. Risk Gets Distorted When Income Depends on the Chart

Survival mode makes you size too small when the setup is great, and size too big when you’re tilted. Your decisions become emotional, inconsistent, and draining. You lose discipline because you’re busy fighting fear instead of following your plan.

4. Confidence Erodes Even When You Know What to Do

You can have experience, strategy, and skill… but if you’re operating under financial stress, your execution falls apart. It’s not your system failing, it’s your psychology collapsing under pressure.

My Takeaway

Trading should be a skill, not a lifeline.

You can’t grow in survival mode. You can’t think clearly when every candle feels personal. If trading is your only income, you’re giving fear the driver’s seat and fear doesn’t care about your long-term success.

Just some friendly advise, Build stability outside the chart. Build confidence inside the chart. Because at the end of the day, pressure destroys performance, structure protects it.

Don’t trade to survive. Trade to win.

WATCH

DAILY TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NUGGET

❝

“Your edge is useless if your emotions fire first.” A clean setup can turn messy the moment fear, greed, or urgency take over. The traders who win aren’t the ones who feel nothing, they’re the ones who act on their plan before they act on their feelings.

TODAY’S MOST TRENDING MARKET NEWS (NOVEMBER 18, 2025)

credits: REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo

Asian equities slid to one-month lows as tech shares came under pressure and investors pulled back ahead of Nvidia Corporation’s earnings and a crucial U.S. employment report. The weakness reflected concerns around stretched valuations, positioning fatigue and lingering doubts over the sustainability of the recent rally.(source:reuters)

GAMES

Trading Brain Training

❝

“I move without a chart,
Yet every chart obeys me.
I live inside headlines and forecasts,
And one surprise print can flip a trend in seconds.
What am I?”

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ANSWER

Answer: Fundamental news (economic data & events)

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